Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.318411 0.360456 0.408241 0.467058 0.538184 0.622297 0.730642
2024-12-22 0.248410 0.301153 0.367269 0.458165 0.583096 0.753958 1.015258
2024-12-29 0.211299 0.269024 0.346781 0.463211 0.640939 0.917103 1.414939
2025-01-05 0.178889 0.235341 0.315197 0.442220 0.651776 1.011652 1.757349
2025-01-12 0.154531 0.208292 0.287191 0.418688 0.649526 1.080567 2.092243
2025-01-19 0.137074 0.188526 0.266406 0.401514 0.652080 1.157401 2.497171
2025-01-26 0.131534 0.185588 0.270709 0.426355 0.737290 1.436638 3.671000
2025-02-02 0.130153 0.188681 0.284854 0.471235 0.876785 1.918711 6.208282
2025-02-09 0.125717 0.186184 0.288976 0.497916 0.986918 2.404303 9.980731
2025-02-16 0.120360 0.181461 0.288357 0.514780 1.080352 2.917855 15.943944
2025-02-23 0.113549 0.173509 0.280720 0.515160 1.131899 3.336488 23.819725
2025-03-02 0.104350 0.160574 0.262256 0.488399 1.100212 3.407541 28.788118
2025-03-09 0.098098 0.152738 0.253481 0.484096 1.139180 3.860409 46.097164
2025-03-16 0.091900 0.144560 0.243304 0.475217 1.163815 4.299613 76.150335
2025-03-23 0.087752 0.139758 0.239309 0.480655 1.238683 5.141751 178.627643
2025-03-30 0.081498 0.130546 0.225340 0.458614 1.211345 5.333924 286.175269
2025-04-06 0.075605 0.121611 0.211146 0.433896 1.167140 5.375319 427.627731
2025-04-13 0.070820 0.114464 0.200094 0.415869 1.143097 5.560409 795.168191
2025-04-20 0.070079 0.114954 0.205224 0.441954 1.302360 7.640011 320658.499146
2025-04-27 0.070772 0.118262 0.216860 0.489151 1.585136 12.405083 NaN
2025-05-04 0.069906 0.118399 0.221440 0.517253 1.807105 18.359673 NaN
2025-05-11 0.068390 0.117088 0.222523 0.535029 1.993934 26.100888 NaN
2025-05-18 0.065969 0.113741 0.218447 0.535430 2.085755 33.107009 NaN